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Dow plunges over 900 points after weak jobs report sparks recession fears

August 2, 2024
in Business
Reading Time: 8 mins read
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Dow plunges over 900 points after weak jobs report sparks recession fears
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Stocks sold off for a second straight session on Friday, and the Nasdaq confirmed it was in correction territory after a soft jobs report stoked fears of an oncoming recession.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 1,000 points in morning trading before paring losses, slumping 610 points, or 1.5%, to 39,737.26. On Thursday, the Dow lost nearly 500 points.

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The S&P 500 dropped 1.8%, and the Nasdaq slid 2.4%. All three indexes finished with weekly losses of more than 2%.

The Labor Department said nonfarm payrolls increased by 114,000 jobs last month, well short of the 175,000 of economists polled by Reuters, and the at least 200,000 that economists believe are needed to keep up with population growth. The unemployment rate jumped up to 4.3%, near a three-year high.


The Dow plummeted more than 900 points on Friday. Getty Images

The data added to concerns the economy was slowing more rapidly than anticipated and the Federal Reserve had erred by keeping rates steady at its policy meeting that concluded on Wednesday.

Expectations for rate cut of 50 basis points (bps) at the Fed’s September meeting jumped to 69.5% from 22% in the prior session, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool.

“Obviously the jobs number is the big headline, but we seem to have officially entered at least a rational world where bad economic news is read as bad rather than bad economic news is read as good,” said Lamar Villere, portfolio manager at Villere & Co. in New Orleans.

“The Fed is going to cut and we’re all sort of adjusted to that, that is sort of established. Now it’s more like hey, did they wait too long? Do we have a recession on our hands?”

The weak jobs data also triggered what is known as the “Sahm Rule,” seen by many as a historically accurate recession indicator.

Adding to the downward pressure was a tumble of nearly 9% in Amazon and a plunge of 26% in Intel after their quarterly results and disappointing forecasts.

The declines pushed the Nasdaq Composite down more than 10% from its July closing high to confirm the index is in a correction after concerns grew about expensive valuations in a weakening economy.

The S&P 500 hit its lowest since June 5. Both the benchmark S&P index and the blue-chip Dow suffered their biggest two-day slides in nearly two years.

The small cap Russell 2000 index slumped to hit a nearly one-month low and saw its biggest two-day drop since June 2022.

Chip stocks also continued their recent slide, with the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index hit a three-month low after its biggest two-day slide since March 2020.


Traders discussing on the New York Stock Exchange floor, anticipating an interest rate decision, July 31, 2024
With fresh evidence of a weakening labor market, traders are now betting the Federal Reserve will deliver a big half-percentage-point rate cut in September. Getty Images

Among the few bright spots, Apple rose about 1% after posting better-than-expected third-quarter iPhone sales and forecasting more gains, betting on AI to attract buyers.

Of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors, only consumer staples  were higher, with the Consumer Discretionary sector leading declines as Amazon weighed heavily, on pace for its biggest two-day drop since June 2022.

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Wall Street’s “fear gauge” breached the long-term average level of 20 points to touch 29.66 its highest mark since last March 2023.

Some market participants viewed the sell off as a chance to pickup stocks at cheaper prices. UBS strategist Jonathan Golub said in a note to clients on Friday that market returns are greatest when the VIX is extended and represents a near-term buying opportunity.

Among other movers, Snap plummeted about 25% after forecasting current-quarter results below expectations.

Credit: Source link

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